My Plan for America and the World

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With the '012 campaign heating up, there are lots plans in the air.  The new craze this year seems to be plans with a strong numerological bent, even if the numerics behind the plans tend towards the vague.  Well, I have a plan of my own.  This is my vision of the future:

3 3 3

(Yes, I went with a number-based plan, but at least mine is prime.  And patriotically colored.).  Unlike some of the other plans, my plan does not depend on getting past a Senate filibuster, nor does it require an executive order or a super-committee. This plan is already in motion, so strap on your jet pack and come with me to the 3-3-3 future:


  degrees (C) of warming.  This is the current best estimate for how much warmer air temperatures will be on our planet in 2050 (relative to 2000).  Of course, some places will experience even more warming (take that, Canadian Arctic).  The extra demand for air conditioning should really give a boost to the energy sector.


  times as many major storm events.  According to the upcoming IPCC report, the intense rainstorms, the kind we normally get once every 20 years, will occur twice every decade.  Numerically inclined readers will note that this is actually a 4-fold increase. I would counter that mine is a conservative plan.  This component of the plan should stimulate the basement sump-pump industry.


mm/year of sea level rise.  Currently, sea level is rising by 3 mm/year.  3 mm/year times 50 years is 155 mm (15.5 cm), but sea level rise is getting faster and expected to continue to accelerate.  The acceleration is due to the fact that warmer water expands faster when it heated.  The acceleration is also due to increased melting in Greenland and Antarctica.  The ice sheets are the big wild card.  Observations of the last 10 years are more consistent with "fast-ice" scenarios.  By 2050, it is possible we could see 3 decimeters (30cm=1 foot) of rise, although 15-20 cm is more conservative.  This part of the plan should do wonders for stimulating the construction of breakwaters, dikes, and gondolas.

IPCC AR4news coverage ofupcoming IPCC special report on "Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation", and Clark et al. 2011.

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This page contains a single entry by Andy Pershing published on November 3, 2011 6:15 PM.

Does climate change get more news coverage in warmer years? was the previous entry in this blog.


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